Good News — We Are Winning
We’re winning. That’s right. Two new polls indicate that President Biden has opened up a big lead over Donald Trump.
The first one is a Reuters poll that indicates that Biden has gained a lot of ground and has passed Trump after he was hit with a $5 million verdict for sexual assault and conducted his disastrous townhall meeting on CNN. The GOP and the “liberal” mainstream media likes to claim that nothing sticks to Trump. These two polls were taken after this run of bad news for Trump.
On to the new polls.
February
• Trump (R) 42% (+3) • Biden (D) 39%
May
• Biden (D) 44% (+6) • Trump (R) 38%
Net 9-point swing towards Biden and Biden’s biggest lead yet over Trump.
May 16 Reuters/Ipsos poll | RVs
And that’s not the only good news. Republican polling firm WPA Intelligence put out a new poll on May 18 that indicated that President Joe Biden would beat Donald Trump by 7 points nationally. The poll also showed independent voters back Biden by a wide 14 percentage points, up from the nine percentage points by which he won independents in the 2020 election. This is the second poll in as many days that show President Biden beating Trump by sizable margins, a story the mainstream media has ignored.
Republicans will scoff that these polls mean nothing since the polls predicted that Clinton would win in 2016. This recent polling data rings true since it has been backed up by actual election results around the country. The GOP is on a bad losing streak.
From the Washington Post on May 17.
“Republicans haven’t really had a good election day since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade 11 months ago, and that continued Tuesday night (May 16.)
The big news out of Tuesday’s (May 16) slate of non-primary elections is that Republicans lost mayoral seats they have long dominated in two larger cities: Jacksonville, Fla., and Colorado Springs. But Democrats also got some relatively good signs elsewhere in special elections. Together, this fills out a picture of a 2023 election cycle in which they continue to overperform, as they began to do almost immediately post-Roe.
Tuesday’s elections also featured results in a series of state legislative races that largely mirrored the results of what was a good 2020 election for Democrats.
Elsewhere, Democrats continued to overperform the 2020 results.
All told, according to the Daily Kos Elections numbers, Democrats have overperformed the 2020 presidential results by an average of six points across 18 state legislative races this year. (And again, that was a good election for them.) They’ve also beaten their 2016 margins by an average of 10 points.
For now, the limited 2023 evidence suggests Republicans haven’t done much to right their ship.”
And that’s not all. In the Wisconsin Supreme Court election last month, the Democratic candidate defeated the GOP candidate by 11 points in a race defined by abortion rights. In contrast, Biden carried Wisconsin by a mere one point in 2020.
Closer to home, Mayor Leirion Gaylor Baird over performed in Lincoln on May 2, 2023. Leirion blew out former State Senator Suzanne Geist by a 55% to 45% margin. This was after Geist and her allies spent over $2 million on dishonest, negative ads.
In contrast, Leirion beat an underfunded Cindy Lamm 54% to 45% in 2019. The fact Leirion did better this year in the face of all those negative ads is truly impressive.
At the same time, the Democrats easily maintained their 6–1 super majority on the City Council. It was a blue wave in Lincoln, Nebraska.
“The simplest explanation for what we are seeing is that those conditions that helped drive 2022 — abortion extremism, ongoing GOP-encouraged gun violence, extremist MAGA candidates prevailing in the GOP primary (Trump, DeSantis) — are very much still with us in 2023. What is also still with us is a Democratic party, ably led by Joe Biden, continuing to make things better for the American people, and a fired-up Democratic grassroots which continues to, through their donations and hard work (calls, texts, postcards, canvassing), push our electoral performances to the upper end of what is possible (thanks everyone!!!!!!).” Simon Rosenberg
The biggest obstacle to a Democratic victory in 2024 has now been removed. President Biden’s budget agreement with the House Republicans has staved off a government shutdown and a debt default. The only hope the GOP had for victory next year was a recession. This agreement most likely insures there will be no recession in 2024. President Biden and the Democrats will run on preserving a strong economy. In addition, Biden maintained his most important first term accomplishments.
We have every reason to be confident about 2024. It’s America or the MAGA Republicans. The choice is clear. Now let’s get it done!