We Will Win This Election And Make The Republicans Like It!
“I will win this election and make these Republicans like it — don’t you forget that!” Those were the immortal words of Harry Truman in his acceptance speech at the 1948 Democratic National Convention. At the time, Truman was trailing in the polls and the conventional wisdom was that he was going to lose. Truman went on to spring one of the biggest upsets in American political history by running against Republican extremism.
Like Truman in 1948, I have never bought into the conventional wisdom that the GOP is a sure thing in 2022. This is because the GOP has become a radical party well outside of the mainstream of American public opinion. At the the present time, Republicans are pushing for a national abortion ban and trying to ram through draconian abortion bans in the red states. Moreover, the GOP will do nothing to stop the ongoing mass slaughters, many of them committed by MAGA Trumpist radicals.
Already, public opinion polls show that Democratic voters are becoming energized by GOP extremism to vote in the mid-term elections. In past mid-term elections in 1994, 2010 and 2014, many Democrats were complacent and didn’t vote. Other Democrats didn’t believe that a Democratic president had done enough and stayed home in protest. A lot of good that did!
As a consequence of the Supreme Court overruling Roe in an extreme opinion, Democratic voters were snapped out of their apathy and dissatisfaction. According to a June 24 CBS News poll: “50 percent of Democrats said the Court’s decision to overturn Roe made them more likely to vote in the midterms. Among Republicans, the number was only 20 percent. A Marist/NPR/PBS poll found almost the same gap: by 24 percentage points, Democrats were more likely than Republicans to say that Court’s ruling increased their inclination to vote.” William Saletan of Slate.
A more recent Navigator poll verified increased Democratic motivation to vote on November 8. According to this survey, 72% of Democrats are more likely to vote now. It is turning out that isn’t a typical midterm election cycle when a Democratic president holds the White House. The anti-MAGA majority which defeated Trump and his followers in 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2021 is ready to do it again in 2022. The Republicans on the Supreme Court woke up a sleeping giant.
We’re seeing a similar increase in enthusiasm from Democrats in deep red Nebraska since the Supreme Court’s abortion decision. A well connected and well informed insider reported to me that Democrats are now more excited to vote in 2022 than Republicans. He also told me that a significant number of Republicans were angered by this decision.
The GOP’s radicalism is also causing unfit candidates to win the nomination against Democrats in key Senate race. According to Karl Rove: “It’ll help Democrats if their Republican opponents say intemperate-to-insane things ill-suited for a general election. The other possible aid for Democratic candidates is Mr. Trump. If he announces a 2024 presidential bid before November — as is rumored — it’ll make the midterms a referendum on the former president…”
Thanks in part to the unsuitable GOP candidates and the rogue Supreme Court, the Democrats are currently favored to win Senate. In many of these races, Republicans are selecting what “one top Republican strategist laughingly described as an “island of misfit toys” — a motley collection of candidates the Democratic Party hopes to portray as out of the mainstream on policy, personally compromised and too cozy with Donald Trump.” New York Times.
Recent polling data certainly bears out the GOP’s concern that it’s nominating bad candidates.
In Ohio, Democrat Tim Ryan is beating J.D. Vance by 9% in the most recent poll.
Democrat John Fetterman is beating Dr. Mehmet Oz by 9% in the latest Pennsylvania poll.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock is beating former football star Herschel Walker by a margin of 10% in the latest Georgia poll.
“AZ — Kelly leads Masters, 48–39, Lamon 47–41. He trailed a generic Republican 43–45 in March.
NH — Hassan leads Bolduc 49–40. They didn’t poll NH in March.
NV — Cortez Masto leads Laxalt 46–43. She trailed Laxalt 43–45 in March.” Simon Rosenberg tweet.
In Wisconsin, radical Republican Senator Ron Johnson is the most vulnerable incumbent in the country. Due to his anti-vaxxer views and his involvement in Trump’s fraudulent elector scheme, Johnson’s approval ratings are stuck in the mid-30s.
The Democrats are leading in every swing state. If the election were today, the Democrats would pick up three Senate seats.
We’ve seen similar promising polling results in the generic Congressional ballot. Post from the PoliticalWire.com site:
“There have now been 9 generic congressional ballot polls since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and their average shows Democrats leading by 45.4% to 43.7% lead or 1.7 percentage points. If you take out the Rasmussen polls, Democrats hold a 2.5 percentage point lead.
Looking at this data, Simon Rosenberg concludes the race has shifted 4 to 5 percentage points towards the Democrats in just a couple of weeks.
Perhaps more important, this trend was mirrored in an actual special House election last week in Nebraska. The Democratic candidate lost the race by only 6.4 percentage points in a district Donald Trump won by 14 points.”
A recent poll of younger voters is equally promising and shatters Republican hopes that Joe Biden’s low approval ratings will drag down Democratic candidates. A recent Monmouth poll of 18 to 34 year olds found the following:
Biden approve 28%
Disapprove 63%
Would you rather see the Democrats or Republicans in control of Congress?
Democrats 59%
Republicans 34%
These polling results and the Nebraska special House election indicate that voters outside of the MAGA base don’t want the Republicans to control Congress. This similar to what we saw in France earlier this year. President Emannuel Macron was easily re-elected despite a 38% approval rating since his opponent was so unsuitable.
We’re already seeing a big swing and we’re just getting started. Before November 8, more rape victims will be denied abortions and red state legislatures will try to pass draconian abortion bans. Moreover, there will be more mass shootings before November by Trump/MAGA supporters.
The Republicans have gone too far, way too far, and the American people know it. That’s the Republicans for you — they just can’t help themselves. They’re radical and out of control.
Vote for Patty Pansing Brooks in Nebraska CD01!
Vote for Tony Vargas in CD02!
Vote for David Else in CD03!
Only you can stop them on November 8. Organize! Vote!